Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.595155 0.682884 0.778378 0.889954 1.016650 1.155955 1.320647
2025-01-05 0.442191 0.555580 0.689787 0.859983 1.069692 1.319250 1.638371
2025-01-12 0.347965 0.475367 0.638206 0.860716 1.155891 1.532962 2.050039
2025-01-19 0.268386 0.396713 0.572976 0.831159 1.197822 1.697680 2.428206
2025-01-26 0.225579 0.358465 0.553406 0.857558 1.316915 1.980722 3.007534
2025-02-02 0.195112 0.331584 0.544333 0.896093 1.458046 2.314215 3.708258
2025-02-09 0.164256 0.297551 0.517663 0.902037 1.549266 2.585155 4.353959
2025-02-16 0.138487 0.266512 0.489725 0.900036 1.625733 2.841607 5.011108
2025-02-23 0.118296 0.241063 0.466350 0.900897 1.705525 3.112194 5.726403
2025-03-02 0.101711 0.218881 0.444606 0.900267 1.781184 3.383782 6.477421
2025-03-09 0.089937 0.203735 0.433188 0.916484 1.889072 3.724897 7.395197
2025-03-16 0.077766 0.185249 0.411832 0.909229 1.949854 3.985238 8.194053
2025-03-23 0.069561 0.173982 0.403785 0.928730 2.068674 4.375373 9.300836
2025-03-30 0.060080 0.157840 0.382488 0.916525 2.120107 4.639206 10.192059
2025-04-06 0.053772 0.147988 0.373489 0.929987 2.228523 5.033207 11.401006
2025-04-13 0.046117 0.133094 0.350083 0.906301 2.250586 5.247592 12.257167
2025-04-20 0.042680 0.128549 0.350890 0.940498 2.410756 5.782133 13.877372
2025-04-27 0.040140 0.125931 0.356079 0.986368 2.605277 6.417352 15.800091
2025-05-04 0.036215 0.118499 0.347420 0.995396 2.710825 6.860871 17.335607
2025-05-11 0.032397 0.110529 0.335873 0.994847 2.792050 7.256740 18.806368
2025-05-18 0.029147 0.103574 0.325890 0.996879 2.880217 7.679998 20.393822
2025-05-25 0.026223 0.096996 0.315793 0.996895 2.962986 8.099796 22.022547
2025-06-01 0.024166 0.092852 0.312208 1.015239 3.098814 8.670898 24.101408